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Papers

Research notes in environmental data science: earthquakes, space weather, climate, water, and the places where one field starts to look like another. They are the workspaces of the Data Lab at TerraPulse, a platform for measured climate and earth-science data. I am its architect.

Most of this is unfinished, and none of it is peer reviewed. 6 of the 13 notes are credited in the source data to an AI agent. 72 more studies are not listed: the project that produced them withdrew them from its own site, so nothing from them is published here.

The index, counted

fewermore

Where each note stands13 listed
Notes per status
published1
accepted2
complete1
in review1
in revision1
active1
draft6

A note’s place in the lab’s own workflow. Accepted means the lab’s internal review passed it. No journal was involved.

What is in iton this site
Listed here13
Figure shown11 of 13
Paper PDF on this site0 of 13
Withdrawn at source, not shown72

These count what is mirrored on this site. More of the notes have figures and a compiled paper in their workspace at the lab than are shown here.

When each was startednewest Oct 2026
Notes started per month, March 2026 to October 2026
tallest 4 notes
Notes started per month, March 2026 to October 2026
Bucketnotes
March 20264
April 20262
May 20262
June 20260
July 20260
August 20260
September 20264
October 20261

Counted by the date each workspace was created. Only the notes still listed are counted, so a month can look quieter here than it was.

papers-data.json, generated Oct 26, 2026

The notes

Newest first. A figure opens at full size. Every card links to its workspace on terrapulse.info, where the work is written out.

Domain

All 13 notes.6 of 13 notes: seismology.1 of 13 note: radiation.1 of 13 note: space weather.5 of 13 notes: other.

Figure from "Three Aftershocks, or 183? Same Size Quake, Either Answer.", top part (opens in a new tab)

The top of a taller figure. It opens whole.

in revisionSep 2026

Three Aftershocks, or 183? Same Size Quake, Either Answer.

Loma Prieta produced 80 aftershocks of magnitude 3 and above in its first month, squarely in the middle of its era.

Rest of the abstract

The record around it swings sixtyfold across nearly identical magnitudes, and the obvious explanation does not survive the data.

draftSep 2026

When One Report Says Golf-Ball Hail, How Often Does the Next One Disagree?

Same-storm pairs of US hail reports, 1996-2025: of the neighbouring reports within a mile of a golf-ball report, 43.1% came in below golf-ball size (2010-2025), rising to 61.9% at 15 to 30 miles, against 78.5% for a report with no link. The basis risk a report-based trigger inherits, measured on NCEI Storm Events.

No preview figure

in reviewSep 2026

How Many Rain Days Does a Jobsite Actually Lose?

How many working days does a US jobsite actually lose to rain, measured hour by hour in local time rather than inferred from daily totals?

Space weatheracceptedMay 2026

CNEOS fireball day-of-year vs. meteor-shower calendar (1998-2026)

CNEOS fireball day-of-year tested against 12 named meteor shower peaks. Clean null after deduplication: Schuster p=0.22, zero showers survive Bonferroni at any window width.

Rest of the abstract

Detection floor at N=355 is rate ratio >=1.96 (Bonferroni-12); optical-bolide Geminid ratios of 1.3-1.5 are below the floor.

SeismologycompleteMay 2026

M6.6 Sanriku 2026-05-15: foreshock signature and Bath's-law test

On 2026-05-15 a M6.6 earthquake struck offshore Sanriku, NE Japan (~39.03N, 141.81E), in the Pacific-Plate subduction zone where the 2011 Tohoku M9.1 mainshock occurred.

No preview figure

SeismologyactiveApr 2026

April 2026 Offshore Washington Swarm: Ridge, Not Subduction Zone

Fact-check of claims that an earthquake swarm off Washington coast is occurring in the Cascadia Subduction Zone. USGS data shows the swarm at ~129°W on the Juan de Fuca Ridge, ~400 km west of the CSZ trench.

RadiationdraftMar 2026

Global Environmental Radiation Baseline from Citizen Science: Signal vs Sampling Bias

Separating physical radiation patterns from observational campaign clustering in 679K Safecast measurements across 45 countries. Can citizen science data establish a reliable global radiation baseline?

SeismologydraftMar 2026

Temporal Clustering of Global M4+ Earthquakes: Spatial clustering

Derivative study expanding on: Spatial clustering. nearest-neighbor distance analysis Parent study: Temporal Clustering of Global M4+ Earthquakes (earthquake-temporal-clustering)

SeismologydraftMar 2026

Temporal Clustering of Global M4+ Earthquakes

Analyzing whether significant earthquakes cluster in time beyond what random (Poisson) occurrence would predict. Testing the hypothesis of earthquake triggering: does one large quake increase the probability of subsequent events?

Back to the domain filter

papers-data.json, generated Oct 26, 2026

Anti-cloud. Host local, think global.

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